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‘Mortgage starvation’ stunts recovery

By Lou_Barnes • Jul 17th, 2009 • Category: Mortgage, Real Estate News

Commentary: Latest reports stranger than fiction

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Category: Mortgage
  • The Day Ahead: Chinese Inflation Drives Domestic Stocks Lower
    Speculation that China may have to tighten its economic policy is pulling investor sentiment lower this morning. Amid positive data on industrial production and retail sales, Chinese CPI climbed 2.7% in February, indicating that the central bank may have to take a more serious approach to slow down spending. “China is aiming for 3% inflation for all of 2010,” said Benjamin Reitzes from BMO. “Continued acceleration would make that target tough to hit and markets are concerned that this latest jump in inflation could cause Chinese officials to tighten policy further.” Reitzes called the CPI figure “somewhat troubling,” adding that it’s too early to a definitive statement that prices are about to take off. “However, with the economic numbers showing...(read more)

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  • FICO: Americans More Likely to Default on Mortgages than Credit Cards
    American consumers are now defaulting on their mortgages in even greater numbers than they are walking away from credit card debt. According to FICO's® Score Trends Service, this is a phenomenon that is historically unique. FICO said the mortgage default risk for consumers with high FICO scores now exceeds their credit card default risk, even though most credit cards are unsecured credit and mortgages are secured by real estate. There is a parallel rise in mortgage delinquencies for these high scoring consumers. The company said that their analysis of trends in FICO scoring shows that recent repayment behavior has shifted significantly from what has historically been expected. In 2005 bankcard accounts were more than 3 times more likely to become seriously delinquent, that is 90+ days...(read more)

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  • Loan Demand Stagnates. Only One Bright Spot in the Production Slowdown
    The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 5, 2010. The survey covers over 50 percent of all US residential mortgage loan applications taken by mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. The data gives economists a look into consumer demand for mortgage loans. A rising trend of mortgage applications indicates an increase in home buying interest, a positive for the housing industry and economy as a whole. Furthermore, in a low mortgage rate environment, such a trend implies consumers are seeking out lower monthly payments which can result in increased disposable income and therefore more money to spend on discretionary items or to pay down other debt. From the release: The Market Composite Index, a measure of...(read more)

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  • The Day Ahead: Inventories, Budget Statement, Treasury Auction
    Investors this morning await the first real data to be released this week. But wholesale trade inventories isn’t a major market mover, nor is the afternoon’s budget statement, so it could be a quiet day if investors prefer to postpone trading until retail sales figures hit the headlines on Friday. One hour before the opening bell, the market is pretty flat. Dow futures are down 1 point at 10,563 and futures on the S&P 500 are up 0.00 points to 1,140.50 Meantime, WTI crude oil is up 31 cents to $81.80 per barrel, and Spot Gold is trading $5.15 higher at $1,127.00. Earlier today the Mortgage Bankers Association said its index of mortgage application rose 0.5% in the first week of March, but it remains down 12.5% from last year. Key Events Today: 10:00 ― Wholesale Trade Inventories...(read more)

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  • Commercial and Multifamily Mortgages Outperforming Overall Bank Holdings
    Commercial and multifamily mortgages continue to have the lowest rates of charge-offs of any loan types at banks and thrifts and perform better than the overall loan portfolios at those institutions according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). In response to what it referred to as a great deal of discussion and conjecture about those loans in recent months, MBA updated an earlier " DataNote " analysis of commercial and multifamily mortgage data from the 4th quarter of 2008 with data from the same period in 2009. The report states that 56 percent of the assets held by banks and thrifts at the end of 2009 consisted of loans and leases, a category that includes 1-4 family mortgages, home equity loans, credit cards and other consumer loans, commercial mortgages, multifamily mortgages...(read more)

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  • HUD Enforcing Job Creation Requirements for State and Local Governments
    The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has released the results of the first stage of its increased oversight and enforcement of job creation requirements under Section 3 of the Housing and Urban Development Act of 1968. In a press release on Monday HUD said that more than 3,100 state and local government agencies that receive HUD funds have responded to its campaign to expand hiring and contracting opportunities for low-income persons and three out of four of HUD-funded state and local agencies had submitted their annual reports. HUD said that this was the largest response since HUD made such reporting mandatory. Under Section 3, state and local governments that receive funding from HUD in excess of $200,000 for activities involving housing construction, demolition, rehabilitation...(read more)

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  • The Day Ahead: Stocks Dip on Sovereign Debt Fears Abroad. Treasuries Get Flight to Quality
    Equity futures are firmly lower this morning following a mixed session yesterday. The Dow looks to open 31 points lower at 10,507 while futures on the S&P 500 are off 4.25 points to 1,132.75. “The mood in global markets is towards risk aversion with no apparent trigger,” said Benjamin Reitzes from BMO. MND's Adam Quinones says weakness in stocks and the flight to quality into Treasuries is a factor of overnight news from Fitch Ratings that warned against a downgrade of the credit ratings of the United Kingdom, France, and Spain. Confirming that risk isn’t on the table this morning, WTI crude oil is down $1.25 to $80.62 per barrel, and Spot Gold is trading $6.32 lower at $1,117.23. As one would expect, the US dollar is stronger against a broad array of currencies. The...(read more)

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